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What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.6k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 38,607 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet exde took Yes (buy) for $21.6k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 01:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- exde
- Tx
- 0xb7b93e20…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+9.9 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 56¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.5k 4.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $36.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |