← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +9.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+9.9 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$121.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$48.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $416.4k volume · 15 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$69.7k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$116.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +9.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $38.2k | called |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $21.6k | called |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $37.4k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x4bf6b33cdca575ba646f172d2d9d1477be71432f"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x4bf6b33cdca575ba646f172d2d9d1477be71432f.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4bf6b3…