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What this means. A wallet put $39.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
$39.0k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 39,466 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet uprightuser took No (sell) for $39.0k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $39.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.9¢
Implied odds
1.1%
Size
$39.0k
Placed
Mar 22, 19:20 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
uprightuser
Tx
0xb78a8d17…

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.9¢ · $39.0k WHALE $39.0K @ 98.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
0% westminster202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% manekineko202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% ThanksGivingTurkey1001202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
4.5× usual
0% tetrase202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% TheMayor202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% uycghj4203d agoexcluded