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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Lakers, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lakers vs. Warriorsexcluded
$12.4k
BUY Lakers @ 98¢ · 12,659 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 08AF took Lakers (buy) for $12.4k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Lakers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lakers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98¢
Implied odds
98.0%
As American odds
−4900 no vig
Size
$12.4k
Placed
Feb 28, 21:56 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 20:30 EST
Result
Lakers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
08AF
Tx
0xb5cc683d…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+17.8 pts
expected 5.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
Lakers price · entry 98¢ · resolved Lakers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98¢ · $12.4k WHALE $12.4K @ 98¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% mudman88237d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ $32.7k
2.6× usual
0% 0x3ae5…ead2237d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% nellbear237d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% 0xaaa8…7ea2237d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢ $20.6k100% Malfunction.237d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. WarriorsLOW BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢ $79.1k
2.6× usual
100% rwo237d agoexcluded