Polymarket · Politics · one bet
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
twinna sold Yes at 69¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 31% chance. 15,000 shares, Oct 29, 13:37 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What happened
Wallet twinna sold Yes for $10.3k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied 31% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -1.5 ptsRelated news
Same names, last 7 daysPublic RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $13.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $10.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $21.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $38.9k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $11.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $10.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.
| YES Ken Paxton | $17.7k | 32¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Ken Paxton | $47.7k | 32¢ | 13h ago |