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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$13.7k

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

defillama7 sold Yes at 70¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 30% chance. 19,568 shares, Oct 29, 17:03 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet defillama7 sold Yes for $13.7k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 30% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $13.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
Yes price · entry 70¢ · now 70¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
65¢70¢75¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $13.7k WHALE $13.7K @ 70¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ $10.5k30% PotatoKotato6h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ $21.0k70% 8DDD7h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 69¢ $38.9k31% SaylorMoon9h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ $11.7k31% 0xff1e…5e2d9h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ $10.3k31% twinna9h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ $10.3k31% Wickier9h agoOpenResolves Nov 3

Same event on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Ken Paxton$17.7k32¢12h ago
YES Ken Paxton$47.7k32¢12h ago