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Spread: Wizards (-4.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on not Wizards, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Wizards (-4.5)excluded$29.0k
SELL Wizards @ 99.9¢ · 29,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet chongchong37 took Wizards (sell) for $29.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Wizards. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $29.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 21:54 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Wizards
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- chongchong37
- Tx
- 0xb4bcb9e4…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+12.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | LOW BUY Bucks @ 51¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | MED BUY Bucks @ 51¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | LOW BUY Wizards @ 50¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | LOW BUY Bucks @ 52¢ | $26.0k | missed |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | MED BUY Bucks @ 50¢ | $62.4k | missed |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | LOW BUY Wizards @ 51¢ | $11.9k | called |