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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -49.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-49.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$588.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$109.7k
Last 30 days −$124.0k · $4.14M volume · 1,753 trades · since Oct 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$838.5k
Open P&L · 45 positions
−$940.1k
Closed-position win rate
98%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
14d
89 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -49.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) | MED BUY Cavaliers @ 51¢ | $102.9k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | LOW SELL Pelicans @ 99.9¢ | $41.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) | LOW SELL Grizzlies @ 99.9¢ | $41.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Suns @ 49¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | LOW BUY Warriors @ 51¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) | LOW BUY Rockets @ 53¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Pelicans @ 53¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) | LOW BUY Grizzlies @ 53¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Raptors (-10.5) | LOW BUY Bulls @ 50¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Heat (-1.5) | LOW BUY Heat @ 51¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) | LOW BUY Nets @ 52¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
 Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | MED BUY Golden State Valkyries @ 49¢ | $60.0k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | LOW BUY Wizards @ 50¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | LOW BUY Magic @ 50¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 38¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY 76ers @ 39¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | LOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) | LOW BUY Celtics @ 51¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x93683d…