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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 11,178 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet 0x926d…635e took No (buy) for $11.1k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Jan 26, 17:14 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 02:08 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x926d…635e
- Tx
- 0xb4a4fb71…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+7.6 pts
expected 4.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.0k | excluded |