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What this means. A wallet put $38.1k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsexcluded
$38.1k
BUY Timberwolves @ 19¢ · 200,295 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet pilotbaby took Timberwolves (buy) for $38.1k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $38.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 19¢ means
19%chance the market gave
+426American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
19¢
Implied odds
19.0%
As American odds
+426 no vig
Size
$38.1k
Placed
Apr 27, 21:34 EDT
Market close
Apr 27, 22:30 EDT
Result
Nuggets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
pilotbaby
Tx
0xb4713faa…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-6.2 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -19 pts
Timberwolves price · entry 19¢ · resolved Nuggets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 19¢ · $38.1k WHALE $38.1K @ 19¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $22.7k0% 0x6165…db3c179d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.3¢ $111.7k
4.0× usual
99% Countrysid180d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% 0Ebe180d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.7¢ $40.8k100% llllllllllllllllllllllll180d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 98.9¢ $12.3k99% ComingBack180d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 22¢ $10.7k22% Blueberry1337180d agoexcluded