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Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $38.1k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.1k
BUY Timberwolves @ 19¢ · 200,295 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet pilotbaby took Timberwolves (buy) for $38.1k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 19¢ means
19%chance the market gave
+426American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 19¢
- Implied odds
- 19.0%
- As American odds
- +426 no vig
- Size
- $38.1k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 21:34 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 27, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- pilotbaby
- Tx
- 0xb4713faa…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-6.2 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -19 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 19¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.3¢ | $111.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.7¢ | $40.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 98.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 22¢ | $10.7k | excluded |