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Nuggets vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thundermissed$12.1k
BUY Nuggets @ 26¢ · 46,597 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet 123abc took Nuggets (buy) for $12.1k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 26¢ means
26%chance the market gave
+285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 26¢
- Implied odds
- 26.0%
- As American odds
- +285 no vig
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 04:56 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 123abc
- Tx
- 0xb43d3d36…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+10.4 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -26 ptsNuggets price · entry 26¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 98.3¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 91¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 14¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $87.8k | excluded |