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What this means. A wallet put $11.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
$11.3k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (buy) for $11.3k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−309American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
76¢
Implied odds
75.6%
As American odds
−309 no vig
Size
$11.3k
Placed
Apr 14, 10:07 EDT
Market close
Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mr.ozi
Tx
0xb3d420f4…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $79.9k
2.8× usual
0% 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% Valen9183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% mr.ozi183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% Valen9183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $58.1k100% scout183d agoexcluded