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What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on Seahawks, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Seahawks vs. Broncosexcluded
$20.9k
BUY Seahawks @ 30¢ · 70,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet sinasinner took Seahawks (buy) for $20.9k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Broncos. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $20.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+235American odds
$1.00paid per share if Seahawks wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
30¢
Implied odds
29.9%
As American odds
+235 no vig
Size
$20.9k
Placed
Oct 15, 21:12 EDT
Market close
Oct 15, 20:15 EDT
Result
Broncos
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sinasinner
Tx
0xb0c9d3f3…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-9.7 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -30 pts
Seahawks price · entry 30¢ · resolved Broncos
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 30¢ · $20.9k WHALE $20.9K @ 30¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 86¢ $16.0k86% coinlaundry8d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 56¢ $143.2k
3.4× usual
56% 0x2c33…05638d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW SELL Seahawks @ 54¢ $10.6k46% 0xfc08…a1378d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosHIGH BUY Seahawks @ 32¢ $283.5k
9.0× usual
32% ethanaz8d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 66¢ $25.9k66% mooseborzoii8d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 90¢ $198.0k
2.7× usual
90% cosmicxbt8d agoexcluded