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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?missed
$22.9k
SELL No @ 94.1¢ · 24,301 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 5245242 took No (sell) for $22.9k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
94.1¢
Implied odds
5.9%
Size
$22.9k
Placed
Nov 25, 11:12 EST
Market close
Nov 27, 19:33 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
5245242
Tx
0xb0094d3e…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+0.8 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -6 pts
No price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94.1¢ · $22.9k WHALE $22.9K @ 94.1¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% debased331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $74.9k
2.1× usual
0% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% aenews2 LOSING331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% classified331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.2k100% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% debased331d agoexcluded