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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
SELL No @ 94.1¢ · 24,301 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 5245242 took No (sell) for $22.9k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.1¢
- Implied odds
- 5.9%
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Nov 25, 11:12 EST
- Market close
- Nov 27, 19:33 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 5245242
- Tx
- 0xb0094d3e…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+0.8 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsNo price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $74.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |