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Washington vs. USCexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $27.5k on USC, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.5k
BUY USC @ 79¢ · 35,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Nooserac took USC (buy) for $27.5k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved USC. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $27.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−370American odds
$1.00paid per share if USC wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.7%
- As American odds
- −370 no vig
- Size
- $27.5k
- Placed
- Oct 03, 20:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 03, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- USC
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Nooserac
- Tx
- 0xaf7ebc26…
This wallet's graded record
5/8-7.6 pts
expected 5.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsUSC price · entry 79¢ · resolved USC
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL USC @ 78¢ | $53.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY USC @ 71¢ | $168.8k 7.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY USC @ 65¢ | $59.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Washington @ 42¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY USC @ 63¢ | $82.4k 3.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Washington @ 41¢ | $12.8k | excluded |