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What this means. A wallet put $27.5k on USC, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Washington vs. USCexcluded
$27.5k
BUY USC @ 79¢ · 35,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Nooserac took USC (buy) for $27.5k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved USC. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $27.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−370American odds
$1.00paid per share if USC wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
78.7%
As American odds
−370 no vig
Size
$27.5k
Placed
Oct 03, 20:44 EDT
Market close
Oct 03, 19:30 EDT
Result
USC
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Nooserac
Tx
0xaf7ebc26…
This wallet's graded record
5/8-7.6 pts
expected 5.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +21 pts
USC price · entry 79¢ · resolved USC
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 79¢ · $27.5k WHALE $27.5K @ 79¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Washington vs. USCMED SELL USC @ 78¢ $53.7k
2.4× usual
22% 364839348904721d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCMED BUY USC @ 71¢ $168.8k
7.5× usual
71% ferrariChampions202621d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCMED BUY USC @ 65¢ $59.8k
2.6× usual
65% 364839348904721d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCLOW BUY Washington @ 42¢ $20.7k42% ferrariChampions202621d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCMED BUY USC @ 63¢ $82.4k
3.8× usual
63% mooseborzoii21d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCLOW BUY Washington @ 41¢ $12.8k41% ethanaz21d agoexcluded