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What this means. A wallet put $43.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?excluded
$43.4k
BUY No @ 97.7¢ · 44,436 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther

What happened

Wallet titanicninja took No (buy) for $43.4k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $43.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4341American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.7¢
Implied odds
97.7%
Size
$43.4k
Placed
Apr 13, 22:28 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 19:55 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
titanicninja
Tx
0xae298403…

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
No price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.7¢ · $43.4k WHALE $43.4K @ 97.7¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.5k0% shuanyang191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.6k0% k1ze5pl191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% ade007191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $55.0k
2.6× usual
0% DegenCAD191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% newnewuser191d agoexcluded
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $55.6k100% onekey09191d agoexcluded