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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$203.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $316.4k volume · 9 trades · since Mar 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$19.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
230d
4 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $42.4k | excluded |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | HIGH SELL No @ 95.4¢ | $42.4k | missed |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $43.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | HIGH SELL No @ 86¢ | $43.4k | missed |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | MED BUY No @ 74¢ | $31.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x85b1ff…