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Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $35.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.9k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 36,349 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet trevors4 took No (sell) for $35.9k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.9¢
- Implied odds
- 1.1%
- Size
- $35.9k
- Placed
- Mar 22, 17:34 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- trevors4
- Tx
- 0xae24c995…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+28.1 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsNo price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |