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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded
$13.2k
BUY No @ 36¢ · 36,627 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TheOnlyHuman took No (buy) for $13.2k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+178American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
36¢
Implied odds
36.0%
As American odds
+178 no vig
Size
$13.2k
Placed
Feb 21, 14:08 EST
Market close
Feb 21, 15:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TheOnlyHuman
Tx
0xacd63954…
This wallet's graded record
2/10-31.1 pts
expected 5.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -36 pts
No price · entry 36¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 36¢ · $13.2k WHALE $13.2K @ 36¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% vincentchase11244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% UnfortunateSon244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $600.0k
19.3× usual
0% joosangyoo244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% Fadepix244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% TB14244d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ $30.0k22% shark142244d agoexcluded