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What this means. A wallet put $43.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.5k
BUY Yes @ 87¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (buy) for $43.5k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $43.5k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 87.0%
- Size
- $43.5k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 10:21 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xac6f44c5…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +7.5 ptsYes price · entry 87¢ · now 94.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $47.5k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $210.9k 4.2× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |