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Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $30.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?excluded$30.7k
SELL Yes @ 70¢ · 43,955 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x25d5…104b took Yes (sell) for $30.7k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 30.1%
- As American odds
- +232 no vig
- Size
- $30.7k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 22:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x25d5…104b
- Tx
- 0xab8e7be3…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-59.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsYes price · entry 70¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.6k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 93.4¢ | $36.8k | excluded |