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Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $584.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?excluded$584.6k
BUY No @ 54¢ · 1,074,591 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)14× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $584.6k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $584.6k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−119American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.4%
- As American odds
- −119 no vig
- Size
- $584.6k
- Placed
- Sep 16, 15:00 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 16, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xaaee920e…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsNo price · entry 54¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $1.32M | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $12.8k | excluded |