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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +29.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+29.8 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$10.69M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$583.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $19.11M volume · 303 trades · since Sep 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$512.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1.07M
Closed-position win rate
60%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
38d
6 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +29.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $826.4k | excluded |
 Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 70¢ | $196.4k | called |
| Lions vs. Bills | HIGH BUY Bills @ 70¢ | $3.13M | called |
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $3.27M 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $1.95M | excluded |
 Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $1.32M | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x63cf85…