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What this means. A wallet put $3.27M on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$3.27M
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 3,270,867 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet halvanicus took Yes (sell) for $3.27M at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $3.27M+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $3.27M
- Placed
- Sep 17, 15:05 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- halvanicus
- Tx
- 0x7dfffd2f…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+29.8 pts
expected 1.4 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 83¢ | $49.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $204.8k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $39.3k | excluded |