← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $204.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$204.8k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 314,822 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $204.8k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $204.8k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $204.8k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 13:06 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x23ecc480…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $3.27M 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED SELL Yes @ 83¢ | $49.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $39.3k | excluded |