← Live flags
Lions vs. Billscalled
What this means. A wallet put $196.4k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billscalled$196.4k
BUY Bills @ 70¢ · 280,570 shares
Size ≥ $100kSports
What happened
Wallet halvanicus took Bills (buy) for $196.4k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $196.4k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- As American odds
- −233 no vig
- Size
- $196.4k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 17:29 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- halvanicus
- Tx
- 0x957608e1…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+29.8 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsBills price · entry 70¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |