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What this means. A wallet put $826.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$826.4k
BUY Yes @ 37¢ · 2,204,068 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet halvanicus took Yes (buy) for $826.4k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $826.4k+3
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+167American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 37¢
- Implied odds
- 37.5%
- As American odds
- +167 no vig
- Size
- $826.4k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 14:49 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- halvanicus
- Tx
- 0x65f2fafa…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+29.8 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsYes price · entry 37¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | HIGH BUY No @ 64¢ | $1.43M 3.4× usual |
excluded |