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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?excluded
$12.9k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 16,091 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $12.9k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
80¢
Implied odds
80.0%
As American odds
−400 no vig
Size
$12.9k
Placed
Sep 16, 15:47 EDT
Market close
Sep 16, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Flaznorp
Tx
0x46bb5522…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +20 pts
No price · entry 80¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 80¢ · $12.9k WHALE $12.9K @ 80¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $11.1k48% 0xa2a7…627b38d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢ $1.32M45% halvanicus38d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $12.9k45% 0x2c33…056338d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?HIGH BUY No @ 54¢ $584.6k
14.2× usual
54% 0x2c33…056338d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $11.2k53% RN138d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $12.8k55% BerlinerBoy38d agoexcluded