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What this means. A wallet put $27.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
$27.3k
SELL Yes @ 98.1¢ · 27,847 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet KSK91 took Yes (sell) for $27.3k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $27.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.1¢
Implied odds
1.9%
Size
$27.3k
Placed
Feb 28, 16:50 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 19:58 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
KSK91
Tx
0xa8192c9e…

Entry to resolution

Grade -2 pts
Yes price · entry 98.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.1¢ · $27.3k WHALE $27.3K @ 98.1¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% bosshog234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $161.5k
8.1× usual
0% Thomas58234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% randomlypunting235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 100x235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $89.9k0% alliswell235d agoexcluded