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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY No @ 97.4¢ · 30,801 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet pinduoduo took No (buy) for $30.0k at an average 97.4¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3746American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.4¢
- Implied odds
- 97.4%
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Feb 18, 01:38 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pinduoduo
- Tx
- 0xa63365ce…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $62.9k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |