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+$1,806No · avg 93¢ → 95.8¢ · $63.3k+$39No · avg 87¢ → 98.2¢ · $342+$3No · avg 84¢ → 96¢ · $23−$24Yes · avg 44¢ → 18¢ · $16−$2Yes · avg 37¢ → 30¢ · $8
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$124.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$40.7k
Last 30 days +$812 · $574.5k volume · 301 trades · since Sep 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$48.5k
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$7,707
Closed-position win rate
88%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
401d
65 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $94.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x67b8a4…