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Pistons vs. Timberwolvesmissed
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
BUY Timberwolves @ 51¢ · 23,163 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet CemeterySun took Timberwolves (buy) for $11.8k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Pistons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 11:00 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 28, 17:30 EDT
- Result
- Pistons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CemeterySun
- Tx
- 0xa4f5a638…
This wallet's graded record
4/8+1.5 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 51¢ · resolved Pistons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $18.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $69.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $44.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $91.3k | excluded |