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What this means. A wallet put $85.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$85.9k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 85,964 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)4.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet NIRVANA87 took Yes (buy) for $85.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $85.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $85.9k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 08:21 EST
- Market close
- Feb 23, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NIRVANA87
- Tx
- 0xa4d0f59b…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |