← Wallets
+$152.0kNo · avg 50¢ → 83¢ · $380.9k−$152.0kYes · avg 50¢ → 17¢ · $76.9k+$26Yes · avg 90¢ → 93¢ · $701
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$200.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.3k
Last 30 days +$1,091 · $8.21M volume · 1,275 trades · since Dec 31, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$51.0k
Open P&L · 3 positions
+$26
Closed-position win rate
54%
132 closed
Wallet age · markets
297d
73 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $44.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $85.9k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xebc625…