← Wallets
−$174Yes · avg 34¢ → 5.5¢ · $33+$1No · avg 89¢ → 95¢ · $19−$26Yes · avg 16¢ → 2.8¢ · $6
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$126.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$41.4k
Last 30 days −$15 · $1.07M volume · 1,710 trades · since Nov 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$42.7k
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$1,164
Closed-position win rate
67%
190 closed
Wallet age · markets
339d
182 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x404479…