← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $28.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.1k
SELL No @ 98.7¢ · 28,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet hild took No (sell) for $28.1k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 1.3%
- Size
- $28.1k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 11:13 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hild
- Tx
- 0xa4665b38…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-2.9 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +99 ptsNo price · entry 98.7¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |