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What this means. A wallet put $50.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.8k
BUY Yes @ 8.4¢ · 605,043 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet athelstan took Yes (buy) for $50.8k at an average 8.4¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 8¢ means
8%chance the market gave
+1090American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 8.4¢
- Implied odds
- 8.4%
- As American odds
- +1090 no vig
- Size
- $50.8k
- Placed
- Jun 09, 14:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 21:16 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- athelstan
- Tx
- 0xa2633786…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+21.5 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $107.6k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $20.0k | called |