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What this means. A wallet put $15.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.4k
BUY Yes @ 55¢ · 28,101 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Yamato1945 took Yes (buy) for $15.4k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 54.9%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $15.4k
- Placed
- Jan 30, 09:58 EST
- Market close
- Jan 31, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Yamato1945
- Tx
- 0xa07dfaa4…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+2.2 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsYes price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $4.70M 14.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $58.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded |