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What this means. A wallet put $20.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 20,375 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x70c5…457f took Yes (sell) for $20.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.4k
- Placed
- Jan 31, 16:56 EST
- Market close
- Jan 31, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x70c5…457f
- Tx
- 0x09f8ad75…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $23.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $17.6k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $4.70M 14.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $58.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.0k | excluded |