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Magic vs. Hawksexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Hawksexcluded$50.0k
BUY Magic @ 43¢ · 117,346 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x8a6c…0b3f took Magic (buy) for $50.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+135American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 42.6%
- As American odds
- +135 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 18:01 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 16, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x8a6c…0b3f
- Tx
- 0x9fbb87f9…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-29.0 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsMagic price · entry 43¢ · resolved Hawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $87.6k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $73.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 59¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 58¢ | $15.6k | excluded |