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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on Cleveland Guardians, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysexcluded
$11.2k
BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 40¢ · 28,066 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet EdZachary took Cleveland Guardians (buy) for $11.2k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Cleveland Guardians. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cleveland Guardians wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$11.2k
Placed
Oct 12, 20:03 EDT
Market close
Oct 12, 20:00 EDT
Result
Cleveland Guardians
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
EdZachary
Tx
0x9f12a3d2…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-15.9 pts
expected 3.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +60 pts
Cleveland Guardians price · entry 40¢ · resolved Cleveland Guardians
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $11.2k WHALE $11.2K @ 40¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW SELL Cleveland Guardians @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% soccergoat11d agoexcluded
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 80¢ $24.1k80% 0x2c33…056311d agoexcluded
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ $91.8k
2.7× usual
61% YYYYY99911d agoexcluded
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ $83.5k
3.8× usual
61% Pwaddler11d agomissed
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysMED BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ $36.1k60% 0x16bb…849212d agomissed