← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on Cleveland Guardians, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.2k
BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 40¢ · 28,066 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet EdZachary took Cleveland Guardians (buy) for $11.2k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Cleveland Guardians. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cleveland Guardians wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $11.2k
- Placed
- Oct 12, 20:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Cleveland Guardians
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- EdZachary
- Tx
- 0x9f12a3d2…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-15.9 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsCleveland Guardians price · entry 40¢ · resolved Cleveland Guardians
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Cleveland Guardians @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 80¢ | $24.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ | $91.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ | $83.5k 3.8× usual |
missed | |
| MED BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ | $36.1k | missed |