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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursexcluded
$10.0k
BUY Spurs @ 45¢ · 22,222 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet johnny234 took Spurs (buy) for $10.0k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
45.0%
As American odds
+122 no vig
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Oct 20, 22:02 EDT
Market close
Oct 20, 21:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
johnny234
Tx
0x9e1d10d9…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+52.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Spurs price · entry 45¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $14.4k100% Aceplus43d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% Paul9739733d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.8¢ $34.5k100% winner8773d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Thunder @ 98¢ $19.6k98% Malfunction.3d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED BUY Thunder @ 79¢ $46.0k79% PowerSupplyUnit3d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED BUY Thunder @ 93¢ $106.2k93% CHZHSHCH3d agoexcluded