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Nuggets vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thundermissed$21.6k
BUY Nuggets @ 27¢ · 79,947 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Nuggets (buy) for $21.6k at an average 27¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 27¢ means
27%chance the market gave
+270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 27¢
- Implied odds
- 27.0%
- As American odds
- +270 no vig
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 19:57 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x9cfc1406…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -27 ptsNuggets price · entry 27¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 98.3¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 91¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 14¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $87.8k | excluded |