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What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.3k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 14,345 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet exposito took No (buy) for $14.3k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $14.3k
- Placed
- Feb 09, 20:17 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- exposito
- Tx
- 0x9ac598c1…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+7.0 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $103.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |