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What this means. A wallet put $103.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$103.4k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 103,494 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (sell) for $103.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $103.4k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $103.4k
- Placed
- Feb 10, 00:47 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0xdf8e16d1…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $316.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |