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What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
$17.1k
BUY Thunder @ 42¢ · 40,785 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet chungguskhan took Thunder (buy) for $17.1k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$17.1k
Placed
Feb 27, 23:12 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 21:30 EST
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
chungguskhan
Tx
0x985d4986…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $166.7k
6.0× usual
0% Countrysid238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $79.9k
2.7× usual
100% rwo238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $34.5k100% Countrysid238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ $12.7k99% 08AF238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ $11.6k90% coinlaundry238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ $12.4k11% 0x1fa3…ab9c238d agoexcluded