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Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.1k
BUY Thunder @ 42¢ · 40,785 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet chungguskhan took Thunder (buy) for $17.1k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $17.1k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 23:12 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 21:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- chungguskhan
- Tx
- 0x985d4986…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $166.7k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ | $12.4k | excluded |