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What this means. A wallet put $29.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.3k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet restart77 took No (buy) for $29.3k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4445American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- As American odds
- −4445 no vig
- Size
- $29.3k
- Placed
- Apr 20, 10:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 18:14 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- restart77
- Tx
- 0x97ceb7a2…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-83.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $711.9k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $37.5k | excluded |