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restart77

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -83.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?+$151No · avg 83¢ → 96.9¢ · $1,056StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?+$32No · avg 89¢ → 99¢ · $315
Price-adjusted edge
-83.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$2.16M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$41.0k
Last 30 days +$51 · $124.76M volume · 170,267 trades · since Feb 23, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$809.4k
Open P&L · 176 positions
−$37.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
607d
1257 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.8-83.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $16.0k100% 178d agoexcluded
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $16.9k100% 178d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $22.8k99% 179d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $44.6k99% 179d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $39.6k99% 180d agoexcluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $23.0k100% 180d agoexcluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $26.9k100% 181d agoexcluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $21.0k100% 181d agoexcluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $48.9k
2.1× usual
100% 182d agoexcluded
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k
2.2× usual
100% 183d agoexcluded
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $49.8k
2.2× usual
100% 184d agoexcluded
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $24.9k100% 184d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $24.9k100% 185d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k100% 185d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $74.8k
3.3× usual
100% 186d agoexcluded
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $29.3k98% 186d agoexcluded
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $39.1k98% 187d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 188d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 188d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 189d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 190d agoexcluded
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $24.9k100% 190d agoexcluded
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $30.9k100% 191d agoexcluded
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $28.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $19.9k100% 192d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $64.9k
2.8× usual
100% 193d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 193d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $54.9k
2.4× usual
100% 194d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $99.6k
4.4× usual
83% 194d agomissed
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $40.9k100% 195d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $23.9k100% 196d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $22.9k100% 197d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $36.8k100% 198d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $44.9k100% 199d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $24.9k100% 199d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k100% 200d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 200d agoexcluded
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $24.9k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 202d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 203d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 203d agoexcluded
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 204d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 204d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 205d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 205d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $119.8k
5.2× usual
100% 206d agoexcluded
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $15.0k100% 206d agoexcluded
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k100% 210d agoexcluded
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $13.0k99% 214d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $10.8k99% 215d agoexcluded
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $10.9k99% 219d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ $12.8k98% 220d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $11.9k99% 227d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $12.9k99% 230d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $19.8k99% 232d agoexcluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 233d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 234d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $19.7k100% 236d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k
2.2× usual
100% 236d agoexcluded
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $99.8k
4.4× usual
100% 237d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 241d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 245d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 246d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 248d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 253d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 257d agoexcluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k100% 259d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $14.9k0% 260d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $14.9k0% 260d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $19.9k100% 263d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $19.9k100% 263d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $19.9k1% 288d agoexcluded
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$16.0k
LOW restart77 · 178d ago
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$16.9k
LOW restart77 · 178d ago
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$22.8k
LOW restart77 · 179d ago
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$44.6k
LOW restart77 · 179d ago
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$39.6k
LOW restart77 · 180d ago
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$23.0k
LOW restart77 · 180d ago
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$26.9k
LOW restart77 · 181d ago
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$21.0k
LOW restart77 · 181d ago
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$48.9k
LOW restart77 · 182d ago
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW restart77 · 183d ago
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$49.8k
LOW restart77 · 184d ago
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 184d ago
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 185d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$29.9k
LOW restart77 · 185d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$74.8k
LOW restart77 · 186d ago
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 97.8¢$29.3k
LOW restart77 · 186d ago
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 97.8¢$39.1k
LOW restart77 · 187d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 188d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 188d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 189d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 189d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 190d ago
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 190d ago
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$30.9k
LOW restart77 · 191d ago
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$28.9k
LOW restart77 · 192d ago
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$19.9k
LOW restart77 · 192d ago
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$64.9k
LOW restart77 · 193d ago
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 193d ago
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$54.9k
LOW restart77 · 194d ago
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
BUY No @ 83¢$99.6k
LOW restart77 · 194d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$40.9k
LOW restart77 · 195d ago
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$23.9k
LOW restart77 · 196d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$22.9k
LOW restart77 · 197d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$36.8k
LOW restart77 · 198d ago
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$44.9k
LOW restart77 · 199d ago
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 199d ago
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$29.9k
LOW restart77 · 200d ago
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 200d ago
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 201d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 201d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 202d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 203d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 203d ago
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 204d ago
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 204d ago
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$24.9k
LOW restart77 · 205d ago
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 205d ago
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$119.8k
LOW restart77 · 206d ago
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 206d ago
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$19.9k
LOW restart77 · 210d ago
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$13.0k
LOW restart77 · 214d ago
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$10.8k
LOW restart77 · 215d ago
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$10.9k
LOW restart77 · 219d ago
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 98.4¢$12.8k
LOW restart77 · 220d ago
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$11.9k
LOW restart77 · 227d ago
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$12.9k
LOW restart77 · 230d ago
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$19.8k
LOW restart77 · 232d ago
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 233d ago
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 234d ago
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$19.7k
LOW restart77 · 236d ago
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW restart77 · 236d ago
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$99.8k
LOW restart77 · 237d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW restart77 · 241d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 245d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 246d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 248d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 253d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW restart77 · 257d ago
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$40.0k
LOW restart77 · 259d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$14.9k
LOW restart77 · 260d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$14.9k
LOW restart77 · 260d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$19.9k
LOW restart77 · 263d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$19.9k
LOW restart77 · 263d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$19.9k
LOW restart77 · 288d ago

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