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What this means. A wallet put $48.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.9k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 49,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet restart77 took No (buy) for $48.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $48.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $48.9k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 02:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- restart77
- Tx
- 0xbdf0b43d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-83.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $299.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 0.4¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $21.0k | excluded |