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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on Memphis, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Memphis vs. Tulaneexcluded
$19.6k
BUY Memphis @ 78¢ · 25,166 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TAIWANNUMBERONE took Memphis (buy) for $19.6k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Tulane. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Memphis wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
78¢
Implied odds
78.0%
As American odds
−355 no vig
Size
$19.6k
Placed
Oct 16, 19:43 EDT
Market close
Oct 16, 19:30 EDT
Result
Tulane
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Tx
0x95abed0f…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+4.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -78 pts
Memphis price · entry 78¢ · resolved Tulane
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 78¢ · $19.6k WHALE $19.6K @ 78¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Tulane @ 68¢ $16.5k68% TAIWANNUMBERONE7d agoexcluded
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Memphis @ 80¢ $23.9k80% Nooserac7d agoexcluded
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Memphis @ 77¢ $15.5k77% ethanaz7d agoexcluded
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Memphis @ 72¢ $22.8k72% KaneAnalytics7d agoexcluded
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Memphis @ 69¢ $19.9k69% ferrariChampions20267d agoexcluded
Memphis vs. TulaneLOW BUY Memphis @ 69¢ $30.8k69% 0xf559…f4627d agoexcluded